arcadeparadise| Market shrinkage continues to adjust, and the technical structure has not been damaged!

Today, the Shanghai Stock Exchange is just for collection.ArcadeparadiseAfter shrinking the barefoot overcast line, the technical structure seems to be looking for the support at the bottom of the box. In fact, if you look at the 30-minute cycle, the stock price will continue to fall on the index RSI, so today's barefoot inverted hammer line is not a poor K-line structure.

Technically, if there is no break, you can't be bearish, and if you can't break through, you can't be bullish, so the current market is nothing more than complex oscillations. The market downturn is also related to the uncertainty in the external markets, especially the appreciation of the dollar index caused by the further delay of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and the devaluation of non-US currencies, especially the rapid depreciation of most Asian currencies. The escalation of currency wars makes market funds hesitant, which in turn affects the popularity of the market.

China's currency exchange rate has maintained a stable level under supervision, and as long as the currency exchange rate is maintained at a relatively stable level, it will not lead to the flight of northward funds, so northward capital is still in a positive inflow under the condition of today's market decline and adjustment. But retail psychology is fragile, in the current state of the market, as long as the index falls, retail investors are in a state of panic, so today's pessimism has spread. In particular, the recent relatively strong performance of banks, coal, construction machinery and other sectors of the decline in adjustment, so that many investors panic, so that the plate index formed a large entity negative line, forming a stampede effect.

Today, there are institutions to adjust positions, the coal plate volume entity Dayin line represents the flight and adjustment of funds, it is obvious that coal prices have fluctuated all the way down from last year, and the market is worried that the performance growth rate of coal in the first quarter should be lower than expected, and there may even be losses, so the funds chose to leave the market. The coal sector belongs to the leader in this wave of dividend market, so its decline has also led to a follow-up decline in other dividend sectors, but the indexes of other sectors have shrunk, and the negative entities are also relatively small. the chips representing institutional funds are stable.

. The plate and direction of institutional positions often represent the direction of the market. Recently, the position trends of institutions in the first quarter have been announced. Of course, these data are lagging behind. However, we can judge whether institutional funds are adjusted according to the plate index structure and the corresponding K-line structure. The directions of increasing institutional holdings are more concentrated.Arcadeparadise: going out to sea (commercial vehicles, shipbuilding, home appliances, construction machinery), high dividend logic (coal, electricity, oil exploration), rising prices (gold, copper), TMT (optical module, PCB) with high performance, new energy leader. The logic of institutional reduction includes medical services with increased geopolitical risk and marginal technology stocks dragged down by declining risk appetite.

The current technical structure of the market adjustment is normal, and the oscillation is the embodiment of the institutional position adjustment behavior, so we pay particular attention to the institutional position dynamics, and we pay particular attention to the above position adjustment behavior we pay special attention to the continuous increase of positions. and the technical structure of stable plates and stocks. Conclusion: the shrinking volume has been continuously adjusted, the technical structure has not been damaged, and the trend of being bullish in technology has been maintained. Pay attention to whether there is a fall in the weight plate, especially in the high dividend sector, if so, pay attention to the sharp adjustment in the short term, and if not, you need to hold shares to rise.